Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State 11/13/2010

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Louisiana Tech is a solid favorite with a 73% chance to beat New Mexico State. Lennon Creer is projected for 103 rushing yards and a 65% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27% of simulations where New Mexico State wins, Matt Christian averages 1.67 TD passes vs 0.38 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.85 TDs to 0.44 interceptions. Seth Smith averages 68 rushing yards and 0.5 rushing TDs when New Mexico State wins and 60 yards and 0.29 TDs in losses. Louisiana Tech has a 37% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 84% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NMXST +13.5

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